Shortage date?

I have heard many times over on this forum, including from the site owner that theoretically Hasbro should be able to produce toys in about a month? From the time the first part gets made to the time the toy hits store shelves....
If today is August 12th, were we yet in a toy crunch on July 12th? I'm kinda thinking we were ok back then?
My question is, on what date do you guys think Hasbro knew there was a shortage?
I'm trying gage in my mind when more might be showing up?
If today is August 12th, were we yet in a toy crunch on July 12th? I'm kinda thinking we were ok back then?
My question is, on what date do you guys think Hasbro knew there was a shortage?
I'm trying gage in my mind when more might be showing up?