Transformers as an Investment
Wednesday, August 8th, 2007 5:13PM CDT
Categories: Toy News, Site ArticlesPosted by: Hotrod Views: 30,783
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The latest Seibertron.com site article comes to us courtesy of our own Lapse Of Reason. In this article Lapse Of Reason looks at the debate of whether Transformer collectors should keep their collection MISB for investment's sake. Without further delay here is Lapse Of Reason's article:
There is often debate whether Transformer collectors should keep their collection MISB for investment's sake. Almost all agree that a MISB figure retains more value than a loose figure. Some Transformers fans balk at the idea and throw around the mantra "free them from their plastic prisons!" Others prefer to keep their collection preserved in it's original state, beautiful box art and all.
So who is right? Is there even a right and wrong answer to this debate? Let's examine each perspective, and in the end make an educated decision.
The Investor
The typical Transformer investor buys Transformers mainly because he or she has a genuine love of the toys.
They choose to buy something they enjoy and carry the satisfaction that their collection will someday be worth more than what he or she paid. In the meantime, they enjoy having the figures in MISB state. The more pristine the box, the deeper the satisfaction - especially for older Generation One (G1) figures. Some go as far to have them graded by the AFA (Action Figure Authority, http://www.toygrader.com/). AFA graded figures receive a specific rating recognized by the toy collecting community, thereby increasing the value of the figure and giving the owner of an AFA graded figure an even deeper level of satisfaction.
In general, toys and collectables are a poor long-term investment unless you choose the right toys in which to invest. Often collectables peak at a certain price and don't continue to grow in value at a steady rate. Exclusive or hard to find figures are the general exception, as well as figures in a rare, well preserved state. The rule of thumb with any collectable is something is only worth what another is willing to pay for it. This makes toy investing a higher risk than a more conservative approach, such as a CD or mutual fund.
G1 Transformers, however, seem to be special circumstance fueled by an ingenious marketing strategy perfected 25 years ago. Many G1 toys have increased in value at very high rates. A $100 figure then (Fort Max) still MISB (Mint In Sealed Box) sells for over $1200 today. That's an 1,100 percent margin! In comparison, say you took a $100 and invested it in a 10 year 5% CD (compounded annually). At the end of ten years you would only have $163. In 20 years, $265.50. While Fort Max is a flagship example, the average margin of return on MISB G1 toys seems to hover at a 500% to 1000% return on the original investment (or roughly 5 to 10 times its original selling price). Inflation has not been taken into consideration here, for the sake of simplicity.
Surprises can come along that devalue a collectable toy. Reissues, for example can fulfill some of the demand for a once rare figure by making them more affordable. The original may still fetch a higher price, but maybe not as much as it would have before the reissue. There is currently still a strong enough market for collectors of "original G1 toys only" to stabilize the price of the vintage figures.
Popularity of the character, the quantity originally available, exclusivity of the figure, regions of distribution, the age of the toy, or the difficulty of maintaining the toy in good condition (G1 Swoop, for example), or an event that triggers a revival of interest (like the new movie) all play a factor in the value of a collectable figure. The best investments are exclusives like this year's Botcon set where you could flip it and get an instant 300% to 500% return.
On the flip side, let's examine another common viewpoint.
The Toy Liberator
The vast majority of toys are opened and played with by children - the target market. Although Hasbro and other major toy companies occasionally cater to adult collectors, they are in the business of selling toys to children and their primary focus will always be the child market.
The adult "toy liberator" buys Transformers for the same main reason as the investor - he or she loves Transformers. The difference is that these people would much prefer to open up the box and free the figure from its cardboard prison. They like to transform the figure, pose it in various stances, and later often retire it to a shelf filled with many other "freed" toys. These figures are always available to be moved around, posed in battle scenes, picked up and transformed, and maybe even swooshed around the room now and then. Sometimes they end up in storage or collecting layers of dust on the shelf, but they are admired, enjoyed, and played with.
Loose G1 Transformers also have increased in value, despite the lack of a box and pristine condition. The average return on investment of a loose G1 Transformers in decent condition hovers in the 200% to 600% range (or 2 to 6 times the original selling price). Although not as big of a margin as MISB toys, they still carry their own weight as far as investing goes. Usually these are bought by other collectors of loose toys wishing to fill a gap in his or her collection.
Some collectors are on the fence between MISB collecting and loose figure collecting, so they open their toys but preserve the boxes. While the inclusion of a box might boost the sale of a figure, it will usually not boost it to the sale price of a MISB figure. Therefore the resale values lie somewhere in between loose and MISB value.
There are also many collectors out there who never plan to sell their toys. Such a thought is never a consideration. Ten, twenty, or thirty years from now such feelings of attachment may subside, but the point is that many collectors could care less about the collectable value of the toy and are more concerned with what the figure is worth to them.
Other Considerations
Transformers are special. You can see that by just visiting this site - so many adults still hooked on them after so many years. That, in time, might fade. Thirty years from now, the generation that did not grow up with G1 toys may not value them in mass the way we do today. Values can drop as time goes on because it is the nostalgia factor that has kept Transformers going for so long. Just because it is old does not mean it is valuable. I had a large amount of one billion year old rocks in my backyard that I could not even give away. Like I wrote before, a collectable is only worth what somebody is willing to pay. Take away the target market for vintage G1 figures and the values will drop. Or maybe Transformers will somehow stand the test of time. It does not seem like Hasbro has plans of ever stopping the Transformers brand, but over long periods of time things do change.
Decision Time
So are Transformers a worthwhile investment? The answer all depends on you. If you love the toys but want to be able to cash out on them later in life, then maybe MISB collecting is for you. If your idea of enjoyment is to open it up and play with the figure, that is a good choice too.
Unfortunately, no matter how vast or complete your collection is, you will not be able to make enough money to retire and live well off of it (unless you are lucky and list your collection on eBay for $1 million and some fool bids on it it).
Therein lies the heart of the matter. Keep your collection boxed or open them up because it suits your taste. There is nothing wrong with that. Collect these toys because you love them. The money is a nice second. Although G1 Transformers have a high return margin, it is still a relatively little amount of money. You won't be able to retire off of income generated by selling your Transformers. For that, you’re far better off investing in coastal real estate.
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Posted by Anonymous on August 8th, 2007 @ 5:14pm CDT
Posted by Hotrod on August 8th, 2007 @ 5:17pm CDT
Posted by Cyber-Kun on August 8th, 2007 @ 5:22pm CDT
Posted by microclone on August 8th, 2007 @ 5:33pm CDT
Posted by Hotrod on August 8th, 2007 @ 5:35pm CDT
Cyber-Kun wrote:Very good read, but putting TFormers for investments is kind of moot. They take a rediculuouly long time to gain in value.
Not really. Check the prices things go for on ebay these days. As Counterpunch pointed out in his article the price hick started last year before the movie came out.
Posted by Liege Evilmus on August 8th, 2007 @ 6:02pm CDT
I also have alot of bots that I actively set up and play with. However, I do my best to keep them in good shape and if one should break even alittle, I'm right on Ebay looking for one for parts reguardless of how the bot ranks in value.
However, for me, it's not abot the money.
I have thousands of Bots, if I sold them I could buy a house, but I don't buy to resell(well sometimes), I buy to have, why, TF are one of my many loves in life.
So basicly, my collecting is something for me that I will enjoy into my old age and hope that my saving, investments and what notwil be enough to have either my display room turned into a mosuliem, or at least pay the grave digger enough to digg a hole deep enough to push them all in on top of me when I'm gone.
I know you can't take it with you, but I'll dam sure try!
Posted by i_amtrunks on August 8th, 2007 @ 6:03pm CDT
Posted by 1337W422102 on August 8th, 2007 @ 6:05pm CDT
Posted by Damolisher on August 8th, 2007 @ 6:19pm CDT
Posted by Primus C-00 on August 8th, 2007 @ 6:32pm CDT
An idea...
<."
Posted by SnapTrap on August 8th, 2007 @ 7:00pm CDT
microclone wrote:interesting. The takara generation prior to TF was the 'micronauts' (1976-1981 ish)kids who grew up with a pared down version of takaras japanese 'microman' series (which incidentally is where many of the first Tf came from eg megatron/soundwave). The prices for those was very high around 5-6 years ago but seems to have faded as that lot of collectors early 30's to early 40's have finally got their fix through ebay and the net. Mint boxed vehicles and especially carded figured from the line still fetch good prices but only really rare japanese boxed toys command anything like what we see in the TF market and of course on the strength of TF the old microman versions of 'megatron' etc are stil sought after.
^too true. Plus thanks to Romando and eventually Takara releasing reissues of most of the vintage Microman figures drove down the prices these figures were fetching.
Posted by Tigertrack on August 8th, 2007 @ 7:00pm CDT
Posted by Masterchip on August 8th, 2007 @ 7:09pm CDT
For me it's hard. I mean I'm 14, a new collector to the series. It's hard to see them in their prisons. I want to open them, but when I opened my classics Grimlock, It just felt....wrong. I mean I open my boxes, read the instruction manuals, and often play with my friend's opened transformers, but I don't take my toy out of the box and out of the twist ties to play with. I'm in the gray zone and it kills me! HELP!!!!
Posted by Megatron Wolf on August 8th, 2007 @ 7:13pm CDT
Posted by Lapse Of Reason on August 8th, 2007 @ 7:14pm CDT
Posted by Zeds on August 8th, 2007 @ 7:16pm CDT
Masterchip wrote:Excellent read
For me it's hard. I mean I'm 14, a new collector to the series. It's hard to see them in their prisons. I want to open them, but when I opened my classics Grimlock, It just felt....wrong. I mean I open my boxes, read the instruction manuals, and often play with my friend's opened transformers, but I don't take my toy out of the box and out of the twist ties to play with. I'm in the gray zone and it kills me! HELP!!!!
Buy doubles of the ones that you want to collect and still open. I have done that with many figs from many different lines. I keep mine MISB/MOSC and buy doubles of ones that I want to open and display. '08 BB easily falls into that category.
Posted by Lapse Of Reason on August 8th, 2007 @ 7:36pm CDT
Thanks for the FP Hotrod!
Posted by Slumble B on August 8th, 2007 @ 7:38pm CDT
Me, I like mine out of the box. I like to pose them and display them and all that good stuff like everyone else. I'm kind of in that middle group now because I'm going to start keeping the boxes. That way if I get too many TFs and get sick of displaying it I can put it back in its box and no harm will be done to it. Many of my other collections have been ruined by me mis storing them after I was done displaying.
Also I think in the current toy market that selling toys for a profit is all short term. Look at '08 BB. In a couple of months we will all have it, but since its such a hot item right now, people will pay double or triple the MSRP. Its all about finding whats hot and in demand and selling it then.
SB
Posted by Liege Evilmus on August 8th, 2007 @ 7:40pm CDT
-Z- G1 Snarl Rules wrote:Masterchip wrote:Excellent read
For me it's hard. I mean I'm 14, a new collector to the series. It's hard to see them in their prisons. I want to open them, but when I opened my classics Grimlock, It just felt....wrong. I mean I open my boxes, read the instruction manuals, and often play with my friend's opened transformers, but I don't take my toy out of the box and out of the twist ties to play with. I'm in the gray zone and it kills me! HELP!!!!
Buy doubles of the ones that you want to collect and still open. I have done that with many figs from many different lines. I keep mine MISB/MOSC and buy doubles of ones that I want to open and display. '08 BB easily falls into that category.
Agreeed, I have doubles of all The ones I would like to keep sealed for prosperity.
Some past figs like BW AirRazor I got long after the series ended and know she's near imposible to find loose in good shape at an affordable rate, so she stayes boxed.
However, much like the second hand G1 Galvatron that I just got that's pretty beat up, if I find a complete version of a bot it will join the battle.
I already have a G1 Galvatron in a fairly decent box, but the fig is in great shape, still to keep him that way and still enjoy this guy, I picked up a $20 complete less than perfect on Ebay.
I would love a second loosy mint, still the great things about less than perfects is that you don't mind modifying them. Also, it's a cheap way to both preserve and enjoy vintage bots as well as current bots who will one day fit that catagory.
Still, I feel it important to say that the Galvatron I keep boxed isn't for investment sake, but realy it's for Galvatron's sake. Same goes for all my boxed bots!
I'm to the point in collecting that unless its a fig that is basicly a drone like the Energon/Cybertron terrorcons, I'm either buying bots to open and enjoy with seconds on the ones I realy like, or getting seconds to keep active as their boxed counterparts stay safe, or vice versa as I normaly open the figs I buy.
I believe I owe this mindset to a toy add that I saw in the back of a comic years ago that said something like
"toys, vintage in the package, alive outside the box"
That always stuck with me and truth be told, I enjoy my collected pieces more that I can display, set up, and use, as apose to the ones I just look at.
Posted by Lapse Of Reason on August 8th, 2007 @ 7:45pm CDT
Slumble Beast wrote:
Also I think in the current toy market that selling toys for a profit is all short term. Look at '08 BB. In a couple of months we will all have it, but since its such a hot item right now, people will pay double or triple the MSRP. Its all about finding whats hot and in demand and selling it then.
SB
This is certainly true. The best investment toys were ones you could flip right away for two, three, or more times the price.
Personally, I have only a few Masterpiece and Botcon boxes. Maybe 6 total out of 500 figures. I buy to open them up and keep the figures. Most boxes either get thrown away or sold. I'd rather pass the toys down to my kids or grandkids before I die rather than sell them off. Of course, if I was ever in a real pinch at least I know I have something of value.
Posted by Zeds on August 8th, 2007 @ 7:48pm CDT
Lapse Of Reason wrote:For those reading from the news page: To read the updated version, go to the article from the toys forum. I added some interesting information on HAsbro stock.
Thanks for the FP Hotrod!
Great addition to the article. I will be rethinking my completist attitudes and stopping my collecting of most TF lines for investment purposes. I was considering the Animated Line but after not being impressed with the figs and after reading this article it is a no brainer for me not to even start as there is no interest for me to begin with. Buying them for investment purposes may not be worth it in the end either.
I will set aside some money for certain TFs that I choose to collect in the future (MPs, exclusives and the like) and invest my other disposable income elsewhere in the future (real estate maybe). I will also seriously consider selling off the better part of my G1 collection and cash out when the getting is good. Like right now given the movie's hype.
Thanks for the great insights. It has helped a lot for me to come to some good realizations
Posted by CoLDBOTMan on August 8th, 2007 @ 8:12pm CDT
Posted by joequick on August 8th, 2007 @ 8:36pm CDT
Posted by Lapse Of Reason on August 8th, 2007 @ 8:37pm CDT
joequick wrote:More sophomoric blog/article flavored writing!
What do you mean?
Posted by Masterchip on August 8th, 2007 @ 9:21pm CDT
Liege Evilmus wrote:-Z- G1 Snarl Rules wrote:Masterchip wrote:Excellent read
For me it's hard. I mean I'm 14, a new collector to the series. It's hard to see them in their prisons. I want to open them, but when I opened my classics Grimlock, It just felt....wrong. I mean I open my boxes, read the instruction manuals, and often play with my friend's opened transformers, but I don't take my toy out of the box and out of the twist ties to play with. I'm in the gray zone and it kills me! HELP!!!!
Buy doubles of the ones that you want to collect and still open. I have done that with many figs from many different lines. I keep mine MISB/MOSC and buy doubles of ones that I want to open and display. '08 BB easily falls into that category.
Agreeed, I have doubles of all The ones I would like to keep sealed for prosperity.
Some past figs like BW AirRazor I got long after the series ended and know she's near imposible to find loose in good shape at an affordable rate, so she stayes boxed.
However, much like the second hand G1 Galvatron that I just got that's pretty beat up, if I find a complete version of a bot it will join the battle.
I already have a G1 Galvatron in a fairly decent box, but the fig is in great shape, still to keep him that way and still enjoy this guy, I picked up a $20 complete less than perfect on Ebay.
I would love a second loosy mint, still the great things about less than perfects is that you don't mind modifying them. Also, it's a cheap way to both preserve and enjoy vintage bots as well as current bots who will one day fit that catagory.
Still, I feel it important to say that the Galvatron I keep boxed isn't for investment sake, but realy it's for Galvatron's sake. Same goes for all my boxed bots!
I'm to the point in collecting that unless its a fig that is basicly a drone like the Energon/Cybertron terrorcons, I'm either buying bots to open and enjoy with seconds on the ones I realy like, or getting seconds to keep active as their boxed counterparts stay safe, or vice versa as I normaly open the figs I buy.
I believe I owe this mindset to a toy add that I saw in the back of a comic years ago that said something like
"toys, vintage in the package, alive outside the box"
That always stuck with me and truth be told, I enjoy my collected pieces more that I can display, set up, and use, as apose to the ones I just look at.
Yeah I mostly want to mess around with Bumblebee, but I'll open him when I get the Target 2 pack.
Because I have 77 bumble with the First Encounter Pack, and will try to get a carded 08 bumblebee so it'll work out! Now to play with Alt. Rodimus...
Posted by Sunstar on August 8th, 2007 @ 9:41pm CDT
Again I say, I love my toys.
Posted by microclone on August 8th, 2007 @ 10:21pm CDT
SnapTrap wrote:Great article LOR. I agree with what you are saying and I hope those who are new to TF collecting can gain valuable insight from this.microclone wrote:interesting. The takara generation prior to TF was the 'micronauts' (1976-1981 ish)kids who grew up with a pared down version of takaras japanese 'microman' series (which incidentally is where many of the first Tf came from eg megatron/soundwave). The prices for those was very high around 5-6 years ago but seems to have faded as that lot of collectors early 30's to early 40's have finally got their fix through ebay and the net. Mint boxed vehicles and especially carded figured from the line still fetch good prices but only really rare japanese boxed toys command anything like what we see in the TF market and of course on the strength of TF the old microman versions of 'megatron' etc are stil sought after.
^too true. Plus thanks to Romando and eventually Takara releasing reissues of most of the vintage Microman figures drove down the prices these figures were fetching.
oh heck, yes i almost forgot about the microman reissues, great for collectors, the majority of my TF/microman/henshin cyborg is reissue!!
Posted by Toyotus Superion on August 9th, 2007 @ 3:49am CDT
Posted by Counterpunch on August 9th, 2007 @ 7:23am CDT
joequick wrote:More sophomoric blog/article flavored writing!
I'm sorry, who are you?
I don't seem to have any respect for your opinion based upon the six whole posts you've made here...
Imagine that!
Let's make a gentleman's agreement, you and I, right here before God and Country.
You go about contributing something to the forums and/or discussion (something worthwhile mind you) and then, I will take a look at your snide little criticism.
Whatddya say pal? Can ya do that for me?
(LoR, Good read, I'm glad to see it's helping people out. I don't personally believe collecting to be any form of an investment. I personally think that accrued value in toys only serves to restrict what we can buy and acts as a safety net for when and if we leave the hobby. Just my personal views on the matter, I'm not disagreeing with anything you said in particular.)
Posted by Liege Evilmus on August 9th, 2007 @ 7:32am CDT
Masterchip wrote:Liege Evilmus wrote:-Z- G1 Snarl Rules wrote:Masterchip wrote:Excellent read
For me it's hard. I mean I'm 14, a new collector to the series. It's hard to see them in their prisons. I want to open them, but when I opened my classics Grimlock, It just felt....wrong. I mean I open my boxes, read the instruction manuals, and often play with my friend's opened transformers, but I don't take my toy out of the box and out of the twist ties to play with. I'm in the gray zone and it kills me! HELP!!!!
Buy doubles of the ones that you want to collect and still open. I have done that with many figs from many different lines. I keep mine MISB/MOSC and buy doubles of ones that I want to open and display. '08 BB easily falls into that category.
Agreeed, I have doubles of all The ones I would like to keep sealed for prosperity.
Some past figs like BW AirRazor I got long after the series ended and know she's near imposible to find loose in good shape at an affordable rate, so she stayes boxed.
However, much like the second hand G1 Galvatron that I just got that's pretty beat up, if I find a complete version of a bot it will join the battle.
I already have a G1 Galvatron in a fairly decent box, but the fig is in great shape, still to keep him that way and still enjoy this guy, I picked up a $20 complete less than perfect on Ebay.
I would love a second loosy mint, still the great things about less than perfects is that you don't mind modifying them. Also, it's a cheap way to both preserve and enjoy vintage bots as well as current bots who will one day fit that catagory.
Still, I feel it important to say that the Galvatron I keep boxed isn't for investment sake, but realy it's for Galvatron's sake. Same goes for all my boxed bots!
I'm to the point in collecting that unless its a fig that is basicly a drone like the Energon/Cybertron terrorcons, I'm either buying bots to open and enjoy with seconds on the ones I realy like, or getting seconds to keep active as their boxed counterparts stay safe, or vice versa as I normaly open the figs I buy.
I believe I owe this mindset to a toy add that I saw in the back of a comic years ago that said something like
"toys, vintage in the package, alive outside the box"
That always stuck with me and truth be told, I enjoy my collected pieces more that I can display, set up, and use, as apose to the ones I just look at.
Yeah I mostly want to mess around with Bumblebee, but I'll open him when I get the Target 2 pack.
Because I have 77 bumble with the First Encounter Pack, and will try to get a carded 08 bumblebee so it'll work out! Now to play with Alt. Rodimus...
See I on the other hand ripped mine right open and plan on keeping all my exclusive 2packs sealed. However I did kinda drop the ball on that. The 2packs are cheaper with more bang for the buck. The Desert Attack pack was only $18 or so while Blackout alone is $20.
What I feel I should have done looking back was gone for 2 2packs, opened one and left my deluxe guys carded(I ordered them way before the movie came out).
I wanna keep an eye on that in the future, because unlike Takara, Hasbro doesn't make it easy to put figs back in the box!
Posted by neliz on August 9th, 2007 @ 8:16am CDT
Posted by Lapse Of Reason on August 9th, 2007 @ 12:02pm CDT
Counterpunch wrote:
(LoR, Good read, I'm glad to see it's helping people out. I don't personally believe collecting to be any form of an investment. I personally think that accrued value in toys only serves to restrict what we can buy and acts as a safety net for when and if we leave the hobby. Just my personal views on the matter, I'm not disagreeing with anything you said in particular.)
I actually agree with you. I tried to leave my personal opinion aside in the original post (at least as much as I could).
I think many of us use a toy's future value as a justification to buy it. How many of us have used the excuse that it would be worth more later? Personally, I will use that reasoning but not from an investment standpoint; more of a cheap bastard standpoint. I buy what I like when I see it so I won't have to pay more later when the thing becomes hard to find. Alt Swerve - got it. Cyb Leobreaker - got it. Alt Camshaft - passed, didn't want it but I saw it. Kicked self later for not buying it to resell. It was also on clearance for $15. When it comes to pay now or pay more later, the cheapo in me decides to pay now.
Posted by Wingsbr on August 9th, 2007 @ 4:35pm CDT
As for the article, very well written. I fall in the middle catergory. Some of them I keep in MISB, but I only do that because I want to give them to my children one day and their children and so forth. I usually buy them, take them out, transform them, display them and then put them back in the box until I get a bigger place to display ALL of them. As far as investment goes, well someone once told me that if I wanted to collect transformers for investment purposes, then I would be better served to put it in an IRA and then take it out when I'm 65, now that's sound investment advice!
Posted by Talous on August 9th, 2007 @ 6:43pm CDT
Long story short, very nice article. Keep up the good work.
Posted by King Starscream89 on August 9th, 2007 @ 9:27pm CDT
Posted by Lapse Of Reason on August 10th, 2007 @ 6:21am CDT
King Starscream89 wrote:i think that both sides of the debate over the varying styles of toy colecting are both right in thier own ways we who play with the toys or display them out side the box are right becuase well we just love toys more tehn the need for true colectability whike the MISB guys are right becuaset hey want to keep thier items safe from the various elements they might encounter to have a nice keepsake for thier future
I think so to. To each his own.